Willard, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Willard

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Willard leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.

 

About 49% of adults in Willard typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willard, ~26% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Willard compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Willard leans more Democratic than 107 of 119 neighbors.

Willard runs about 4 points more Republican than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Willard. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+32) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 57 points.

Why Willard leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Willard is about 60%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Willard have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Willard, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Willard looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Willard is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 18 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Willard rent, above 93% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Willard report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.