Willow Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Willow Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willow Creek, ~15% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willow Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willow Creek leans more Republican than 24 of 40 neighbors.
Willow Creek runs about 52 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Willow Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Willow Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willow Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Willow Creek votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Willow Creek runs about 52 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Willow Creek is about 96%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Willow Creek, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Willow Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Willow Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Amboy, MN R+45
- Lewisville, MN R+56
- Vernon Center, MN R+48
- Truman, MN R+44
- Huntley, MN R+50
- Winnebago, MN R+42
- Sterling Center, MN R+42
- Northrop, MN R+53
- South Branch, MN R+56
- Granada, MN R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Luray, SC D+17
- Hindostan Falls, IN R+64
- Dover, IL R+45
- Mahanoy Plane, PA R+34
- Maher, WV R+72
- Emmalane, GA R+47
- South Hornell, NY R+42
- Center, IN R+63
- Leckrone, PA R+41
- Ruddle, WV R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.