Willow Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Willow Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willow Creek, ~17% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willow Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willow Creek leans more Republican than 10 of 18 neighbors.
Willow Creek runs about 32 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Willow Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willow Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Willow Creek live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Willow Creek, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Willow Creek looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Willow Creek have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Harrison, MT R+60
- Trident, MT R+58
- Cardwell, MT R+59
- Summit Valley, MT R+60
- Francis, MT R+48
- Logan, MT R+35
- Red Bluff, MT R+51
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Pony, MT R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carpenter, SD R+59
- West Okoboji, IA R+26
- Coleharbor, ND R+63
- Childs, NY R+45
- Corley, WV R+68
- Wallaceville, PA R+60
- Brockwell, AR R+70
- East Lexington, VA R+38
- Poolville, MS R+86
- Okesa, OK R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.