Francis leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Francis typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Francis, ~22% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Francis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Francis leans more Republican than 10 of 15 neighbors.
Francis runs about 28 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Francis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Francis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in Francis are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Francis sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Francis, MT sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Francis looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Francis own their home, about 14 points above the Montana average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Francis have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Church Hill, MT R+43
- Logan, MT R+35
- Belgrade, MT R+21
- Anceney, MT R+34
- Four Corners, MT R+14
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Trident, MT R+58
- Willow Creek, MT R+52
- Bozeman, MT D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lake Shore, UT R+74
- Glen Cove, TX R+79
- Calder, ID R+41
- Snow Creek, CA Even
- Syria, VA R+35
- Newmansville, PA R+51
- Bloomfield, OH R+70
- Sherwood, OK R+85
- Snow Hill, TX R+45
- Otranto, IA R+38
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.