Red Oak, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Red Oak

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Red Oak leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 72% of adults in Red Oak typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Red Oak, ~32% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Red Oak compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Red Oak leans more Republican than 17 of 56 neighbors.

Politically, Red Oak sits close to the rest of Texas.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Red Oak. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 62 points.

Why Red Oak leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Red Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Red Oak votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 55%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Red Oak are family households, above 86% of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Red Oak, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Red Oak looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Red Oak is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.