Population 62,697 · Census ACS 2020–24
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Population and households in Otay Ranch
Household size in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 3.59 | 3.27 | 2.87 | 3.04 | 2.68 |
| 2010–14 | 3.54 | 3.32 | 2.98 | 3.10 | 2.73 |
| 2015–19 | 3.63 | 3.39 | 2.99 | 3.09 | 2.71 |
| 2020–24 | 3.56 | 3.30 | 2.86 | 3.01 | 2.65 |
| Change | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.03 |
Otay Ranch is a place of big households: 3.56 people per home on average, compared with 2.65 nationally. Numbers like that usually point to plenty of families with kids. No other Chula Vista neighborhood has larger households.
Household size: the average number of people living in each occupied home. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25010).
Median age in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 30.5 | 33.7 | 36.1 | 35.8 | 37.7 |
| 2010–14 | 31.7 | 34.4 | 36.7 | 36.8 | 38.6 |
| 2015–19 | 33.2 | 36.2 | 37.8 | 37.9 | 39.6 |
| 2020–24 | 35.8 | 38.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 40.1 |
| Change | +5.3 | +4.3 | +2.8 | +3.1 | +2.3 |
With a median age of just 35.8, Otay Ranch is far younger than the country as a whole (40.1), a population that tilts toward young families with children. Since 2006–10, the median age has climbed from 30.5, in line with the national trend. Otay Ranch has the youngest population of any Chula Vista neighborhood.
Median age: the age that splits residents into two equal halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B01002).
Single-parent households in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 14.4% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| 2010–14 | 8.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| 2015–19 | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% |
| 2020–24 | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% |
| Change | −1.6 pts | −1.9 pts | −1.5 pts | −1.2 pts | −0.6 pts |
Single-parent households are a bit more common in Otay Ranch than nationally: 12.9%, against 11.6%. Even so, single parents are less common here than in Chula Vista overall (14.1%). Since 2006–10, the single-parent share has fallen 1.6 points, in line with the national trend.
Single-parent households: households where one adult with no spouse present lives with children under 18. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B11003).
Housing in Otay Ranch
Renters in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 29.0% | 40.6% | 44.1% | 42.6% | 33.3% |
| 2010–14 | 29.6% | 42.3% | 46.6% | 45.2% | 35.6% |
| 2015–19 | 30.3% | 41.5% | 46.7% | 45.2% | 36.0% |
| 2020–24 | 31.0% | 40.9% | 45.4% | 44.1% | 34.8% |
| Change | +2.0 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.4 pts | +1.5 pts | +1.5 pts |
Just over three in ten households in Otay Ranch rent their homes (31.0%), a little below the national share of 34.8%; the rest own. Nearly one in five owners (19.1%) have paid off their mortgages, well below the national share of 39.8%. Rentals cluster in the west; owners are most common in the northeast. The renter share is up 2.0 points from 2006–10, in line with the national trend.
Renters: occupied homes that are rented rather than owned. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25003).
Vacant homes in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 15.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% |
| 2010–14 | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% |
| 2015–19 | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% |
| 2020–24 | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% |
| Change | −10.2 pts | −5.1 pts | −1.6 pts | −1.4 pts | −1.8 pts |
Only 5.3% of homes in Otay Ranch are vacant, far below the national rate of 9.6%, which usually means strong demand for housing. The picture is much the same across Chula Vista. Since 2006–10, vacancy has fallen 10.2 points, a much bigger shift than nationally.
Vacant homes: homes with no one living in them, including vacation homes and homes for sale or rent. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25002).
Age of homes in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 2002 | 1983 | 1977 | 1972 | 1974 |
| 2010–14 | 2003 | 1983 | 1978 | 1973 | 1975 |
| 2015–19 | 2005 | 1984 | 1979 | 1974 | 1977 |
| 2020–24 | 2007 | 1986 | 1981 | 1976 | 1980 |
| Change | +5 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +6 |
Otay Ranch has newer housing than the country as a whole: the median home was built in 2007, versus 1980 nationally. The median year built has moved up from 2002 in 2006–10, a sign of steady new building. The newest homes are mostly in the southwest, the oldest in the southeast. Only one other Chula Vista neighborhood has newer homes.
Age of homes: the year that splits the housing stock into older and newer halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25035).
Rent in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | $1,895 | $1,563 | $1,408 | $1,298 | $965 |
| 2010–14 | $1,843 | $1,590 | $1,481 | $1,379 | $1,040 |
| 2015–19 | $2,300 | $1,967 | $1,868 | $1,721 | $1,213 |
| 2020–24 | $2,982 | $2,572 | $2,468 | $2,229 | $1,571 |
| Change | +$1,087 | +$1,009 | +$1,061 | +$931 | +$606 |
Rent in Otay Ranch runs $2,982 a month at the median, utilities included, well above the U.S. median of $1,571. Rent has climbed $1,087 a month since 2006–10, up 57%, a slower climb than the nation's. The typical renter here spends 34.6% of household income on rent, well over the 30% mark often used to define affordable rent, so many renters here are stretched. Renters on a budget will find the lowest rents in the southeast; the highest are in the northeast.
Rent: monthly rent plus the utilities renters pay themselves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25064).
Education in Otay Ranch
Bachelor's degrees in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 39.2% | 27.4% | 33.5% | 29.1% | 28.4% |
| 2010–14 | 39.4% | 28.2% | 34.7% | 30.1% | 29.6% |
| 2015–19 | 41.1% | 29.0% | 38.2% | 32.9% | 32.1% |
| 2020–24 | 45.0% | 33.3% | 42.8% | 36.3% | 35.6% |
| Change | +5.7 pts | +5.9 pts | +9.3 pts | +7.1 pts | +7.2 pts |
College degrees are more common in Otay Ranch than nationally: 45.0% of adults 25 and older have a bachelor's or higher, against 35.6%. The share with a degree is up 5.7 points from 2006–10, in line with the national trend.
Bachelor's degrees: adults 25 and older with a bachelor's degree or higher. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
High school graduates in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 90.6% | 82.0% | 84.9% | 79.9% | 84.9% |
| 2010–14 | 90.3% | 81.9% | 85.5% | 80.7% | 86.1% |
| 2015–19 | 91.7% | 82.5% | 87.3% | 82.6% | 87.7% |
| 2020–24 | 93.4% | 86.4% | 89.0% | 84.2% | 89.3% |
| Change | +2.8 pts | +4.5 pts | +4.0 pts | +4.3 pts | +4.3 pts |
High school completion in Otay Ranch is above the national rate: 93.4% of adults have a diploma or equivalent, against 89.3%. Since 2006–10, the share with a diploma has risen 2.8 points, mirroring the country.
High school graduates: adults 25 and older with a high school diploma, GED or more. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
Jobs in Otay Ranch
| Period | Otay Ranch | Chula Vista | San Diego area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| 2010–14 | 6.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| 2015–19 | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| 2020–24 | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Change | −1.8 pts | −1.2 pts | −1.8 pts | −2.6 pts | −2.7 pts |
Unemployment in Otay Ranch runs below the national rate: 3.9% of the labor force was out of work and looking, against 5.4% nationally. Few Chula Vista neighborhoods have lower unemployment: only two of 14. Unemployment has fallen 1.8 points since 2006–10, mirroring the country.
Unemployment: people looking for work as a share of everyone working or looking. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B23025).
Otay Ranch compared with nearby neighborhoods
| Neighborhood | Household size | Median age | Single parents | Renters | Vacant homes | Median year built | Median rent | Bachelor's degree | High school diploma | Unemployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otay Ranch | 3.56 | 35.8 | 12.9% | 31.0% | 5.3% | 2007 | $2,982 | 45.0% | 93.4% | 3.9% |
| Estlake Greens | 3.45 | 38.8 | 13.1% | 25.0% | 5.8% | 1998 | $2,550 | 47.5% | 94.0% | 6.6% |
| Paseo Ranchoero | 2.94 | 42.9 | 12.3% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 1988 | $3,125 | 40.5% | 88.8% | 5.2% |
| Eastlake Trails | 3.08 | 37.6 | 14.0% | 30.8% | 1.9% | 2010 | $2,851 | 52.0% | 90.7% | 2.7% |
| East Lake | 2.93 | 41.4 | 14.5% | 35.1% | 5.6% | 1988 | $2,894 | 50.0% | 95.1% | 8.6% |
| Sunbow | 3.30 | 42.0 | 4.7% | 39.9% | 8.6% | 1996 | $2,892 | 41.7% | 91.4% | 4.7% |
| Eastlake Vistas | 3.36 | 36.1 | 9.5% | 26.3% | 2.5% | 2007 | $2,772 | 52.0% | 93.2% | 5.4% |
| Rancho del Rey | 3.21 | 39.9 | 20.8% | 36.6% | 7.2% | 1994 | $2,793 | 44.5% | 93.9% | 5.4% |
| Bonita Long Canyon | 3.33 | 43.6 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 1982 | $2,171 | 49.8% | 91.6% | 5.4% |
| Lynwood Hills | 3.06 | 39.7 | 9.6% | 24.6% | 6.8% | 1977 | $2,659 | 32.3% | 88.7% | 3.8% |
| Rolling Hills Ranch | 3.36 | 43.5 | 8.6% | 16.2% | 6.2% | 2005 | $3,501 | 48.1% | 96.5% | 11.2% |
All figures 2020–24.
Neighborhoods with similar populations: Midtown, Manhattan, NY · Southeast Arlington, Arlington, TX · Southeast, Anaheim, CA · South of Market, San Francisco, CA · Oak Lawn, Dallas, TX · Near Northwest, Houston, TX · Morris Heights, Bronx, NY · Mira Mesa, San Diego, CA · Millcreek, Salt Lake City, UT · Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN
About these numbers
Every figure on this page is a BestNeighborhood calculation from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS), built up from the Census block groups that make up Otay Ranch. Each ACS 5-year release pools five years of responses; this page shows the last 15 releases, 2006–10 through 2020–24. Neighboring releases share four of their five years, so they move gradually and small changes between them are within the survey's margin of error; in small places the lines can jump from one release to the next for the same reason. The maps show the same measures for each neighborhood, ranked against the whole country.
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