11040 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 11040 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11040, ~32% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11040 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11040 leans more Republican than 152 of 192 neighbors.
11040 runs about 19 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11040 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11040. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 11040 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11040, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11040 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in 11040 are family households, above 93% of zip codes. 11040 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 11040, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 11040 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11040 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 11040 own their home, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.