11230 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 11230 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11230, ~18% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11230 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11230 leans more Republican than 158 of 176 neighbors.
11230 runs about 37 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11230 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11230. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+58), a spread of about 97 points.
Why 11230 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11230, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11230 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11230 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 11230, NY does.
Why turnout in 11230 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 70% of households in 11230 rent, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 17% of homes in 11230 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.