10930 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 10930 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10930, ~33% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10930 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10930 leans more Republican than 30 of 49 neighbors.
10930 runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10930 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10930. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+18) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 10930 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10930, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 10930 are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 10930 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10930, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10930 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10930 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 10930 own their home, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.