10950 is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 10950 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10950, ~15% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10950 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10950 is the most Republican-leaning.
10950 runs about 68 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10950 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10950. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+85) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 81 points.
Why 10950 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10950, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10950 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 65%, well above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in 10950 are family households, above 98% of zip codes. 10950 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 10950, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10950 looks the way it does
Turnout in 10950 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.