11229 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 11229 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11229, ~17% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11229 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11229 leans more Republican than 155 of 169 neighbors.
11229 runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11229 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11229. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 11229 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11229, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11229 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11229 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 11229, NY does.
Why turnout in 11229 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 54% of households in 11229 rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 19% of homes in 11229 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.