11235 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 11235 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11235, ~16% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11235 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11235 leans more Republican than 143 of 154 neighbors.
11235 runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11235 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11235. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 11235 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11235, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11235 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. 11235 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 11235, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 11235 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 63% of households in 11235 rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of homes in 11235 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.