11204 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 11204 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11204, ~12% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11204 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11204 leans more Republican than 160 of 167 neighbors.
11204 runs about 53 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11204 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11204. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+89) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 69 points.
Why 11204 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11204, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11204 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 11204 are family households, above 87% of zip codes. 11204 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 11204, NY does.
Why turnout in 11204 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 65% of households in 11204 rent, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 11204 report food insecurity, above 91% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in 11204 have completed high school, below 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.