11518 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 11518 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11518, ~35% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11518 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11518 leans more Republican than 109 of 130 neighbors.
11518 runs about 30 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11518 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11518. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 11518 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11518, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11518 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11518 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 11518, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 11518 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11518 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.