11510 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 11510 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11510, ~47% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11510 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11510 leans more Democratic than 97 of 118 neighbors.
11510 runs about 27 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11510. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 54 points.
Why 11510 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11510, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 96% of residents in 11510 live in densely developed areas, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 11510 sits in the top quarter (about 45%, above 85% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in 11510 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11510, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11510 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11510 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 11510 own their home, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.