12020 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 12020 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12020, ~42% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12020 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12020 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 13 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 12 leaning the other way.
12020 runs about 12 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12020. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 12020 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 12020. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 12020, NY sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12020 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12020 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.