92103 is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 92103 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92103, ~53% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92103 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92103 leans more Democratic than 51 of 54 neighbors.
92103 runs about 36 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92103. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+65) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 92103 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92103, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 92103 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 92103 sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 96% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 92103 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 92103, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 92103 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 92103 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 92103 have completed high school, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.