12074 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 12074 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12074, ~32% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12074 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12074 leans more Republican than 11 of 20 neighbors.
12074 runs about 34 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12074 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12074. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 12074 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12074, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in 12074 drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 12074 are family households, above 77% of zip codes. 12074 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12074, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12074 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12074 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 12074 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.