12051 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 12051 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12051, ~33% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12051 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12051 leans more Democratic than 33 of 40 neighbors.
12051 runs about 6 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12051. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 61 points.
Why 12051 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12051, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in 12051 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 27%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 12051, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12051 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 12051 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in 12051 rent, compared to around 16% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 12051 report food insecurity, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.