12124 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 94% of adults in 12124 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12124, ~35% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12124 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12124 leans more Republican than 37 of 48 neighbors.
12124 runs about 38 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12124 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12124 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12124, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in 12124 drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 12124 fits that profile on both counts. 12124 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12124, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12124 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in 12124 own their home, about 24 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.