12410 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 12410 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12410, ~43% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12410 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12410 leans more Democratic than 14 of 23 neighbors.
12410 runs about 15 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12410. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 12410 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12410, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 52% of adults in 12410 hold a bachelor's degree, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 12410 have never been married, above 81% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12410, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 12410 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12410 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 63% of zip codes. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 12410 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 12410 have completed high school, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.