12495 is a Democratic stronghold. About 87% of voters here vote Democratic and 13% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 12495 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12495, ~72% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12495 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12495 leans more Democratic than 30 of 32 neighbors.
12495 runs about 62 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 12495 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12495, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 69% of adults in 12495 hold a bachelor's degree, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12495, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 12495 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12495 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 12495 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 12495 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.