12955 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 12955 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12955, ~21% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12955 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12955 leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
12955 runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12955 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12955 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12955, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12955 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12955 runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 12955 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 12955, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12955 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 12955 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 12955 report food insecurity, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.