14534 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 92% of adults in 14534 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14534, ~60% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14534 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14534 leans more Democratic than 29 of 44 neighbors.
14534 runs about 17 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14534. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+42) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 14534 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14534, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 74% of adults in 14534 hold a bachelor's degree, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 14534, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 14534 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14534 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 14534 own their home, compared to around 68% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 14534 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.