14623 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 14623 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14623, ~33% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14623 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14623 leans more Democratic than 29 of 45 neighbors.
14623 runs about 16 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14623. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 14623 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14623, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 76% of residents in 14623 live in densely developed areas, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 14623 sits in the top quarter (about 42%, above 83% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 61% of adults in 14623 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 14623, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 14623 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 59% of households in 14623 rent, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.