14853 is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 14853 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14853, ~34% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14853 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14853 is the most Democratic-leaning.
14853 runs about 55 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 14853 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14853, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 84% of adults in 14853 hold a bachelor's degree, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 14853 is about 34%, compared to around 86% in nearby zip codes. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 96% of adults in 14853 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 14853, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 14853 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 52% of households in 14853 rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in 14853 report food insecurity, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.