14886 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 14886 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14886, ~52% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14886 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14886 leans more Democratic than 13 of 15 neighbors.
14886 runs about 17 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14886. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+49) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 50 points.
Why 14886 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14886, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in 14886 hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 14886, NY does.
Why turnout in 14886 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14886 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 14886 have completed high school, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.