22044 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 22044 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22044, ~44% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22044 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22044 leans more Democratic than 26 of 123 neighbors.
22044 runs about 33 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why 22044 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22044, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 22044 live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 22044 sits in the top quarter (about 50%, above 89% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 22044 have never been married, above 85% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 22044, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 22044 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 22044 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.