22041 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 22041 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22041, ~36% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22041 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22041 leans more Democratic than 32 of 123 neighbors.
22041 runs about 37 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22041. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+29), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 22041 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22041, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in 22041 live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 22041 sits in the top quarter (about 44%, above 85% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 22041 have never been married, above 85% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 22041, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 22041 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 22041 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 52% of households in 22041 rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 14% of homes in 22041 have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.