23072 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 87% of adults in 23072 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23072, ~28% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23072 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23072 leans more Republican than 20 of 26 neighbors.
23072 runs about 41 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23072 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23072. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 23072 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23072, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in 23072 drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 23072 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23072, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 23072 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 23072 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.