23237 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 23237 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23237, ~41% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23237 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23237 leans more Democratic than 14 of 32 neighbors.
23237 runs about 14 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23237. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 23237 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23237, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 23237 is about 40%, about 32 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 23237 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 23237, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 23237 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23237 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.