23860 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 23860 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23860, ~39% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23860 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23860 leans more Democratic than 6 of 12 neighbors.
23860 runs about 12 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23860. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+38) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 36 points.
Why 23860 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23860, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 23860 is about 43%, about 29 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in 23860 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 23860, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 23860 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23860 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.