92596 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 92596 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92596, ~24% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92596 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92596 leans more Republican than 12 of 18 neighbors.
92596 runs about 38 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92596 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92596. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 92596 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92596, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92596 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 72%, modestly above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in 92596 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes. 92596 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 92596, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 92596 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in 92596 have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.