27858 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 27858 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27858, ~41% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27858 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27858 leans more Democratic than 6 of 9 neighbors.
27858 runs about 10 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27858. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 61 points.
Why 27858 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 27858, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in 27858 hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 27858 is about 68%, compared to around 52% in nearby zip codes. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in 27858 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 27858, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 27858 looks the way it does
Turnout in 27858 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.