10031 is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 10031 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10031, ~38% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10031 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10031 leans more Democratic than 156 of 201 neighbors.
10031 runs about 50 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10031. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+76) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+52), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 10031 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10031, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10031 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10031 sits in the top quarter (about 41%, above 82% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 10031 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 10031, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10031 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 10031 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 85% of households in 10031 rent, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in 10031 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.