33125 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 33125 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33125, ~14% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33125 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33125 leans more Republican than 49 of 68 neighbors.
33125 runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33125. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 33125 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33125, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33125 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33125, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33125 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33125 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 71% of households in 33125 rent, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33125 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.