32244 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 32244 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32244, ~35% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32244 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32244 leans more Democratic than 18 of 29 neighbors.
32244 runs about 26 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32244 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32244. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 32244 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32244, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 32244 is about 42%, about 31 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 32244 have never been married, above 86% of zip codes. 32244 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 32244, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 32244 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32244 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in 32244 rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.