32311 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 32311 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32311, ~48% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32311 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32311 leans more Democratic than 3 of 11 neighbors.
32311 runs about 36 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32311 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32311. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+42) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 58 points.
Why 32311 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32311, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in 32311 hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 32311 have never been married, above 77% of zip codes. 32311 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32311, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 32311 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32311 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 65% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.