32306 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 29% of adults in 32306 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32306, ~19% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32306 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32306 leans more Democratic than 6 of 13 neighbors.
32306 runs about 40 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32306 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 32306 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32306, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 94% of adults in 32306 hold a bachelor's degree, about 66 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32306 sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and more than 99% of adults in 32306 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 32306, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 32306 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 32306 rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 32306 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32306 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.