32317 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 32317 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32317, ~45% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32317 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32317 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 9 leaning the other way.
32317 runs about 14 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32317 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32317. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 32317 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32317, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32317 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32317 runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as 32317, FL does.
Why turnout in 32317 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32317 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 32317 own their home, compared to around 45% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 32317 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.