32304 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 32304 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32304, ~30% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32304 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32304 leans more Democratic than 10 of 13 neighbors.
32304 runs about 59 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32304 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32304. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+79) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 52 points.
Why 32304 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32304, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in 32304 live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 82% of adults in 32304 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes. 32304 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 32304, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 32304 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32304 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 87% of households in 32304 rent, compared to around 53% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32304 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.