32611 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 32611 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32611, ~31% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32611 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32611 leans more Democratic than 15 of 17 neighbors.
32611 runs about 63 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32611 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32611. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+53) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 32611 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32611, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 80% of adults in 32611 hold a bachelor's degree, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32611 sits in the top fifth on density (about 79%, above 82% of zip codes). 32611 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32611, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32611 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32611 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and more than 99% of households in 32611 rent, compared to around 65% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 32611 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.