32612 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 32612 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32612, ~27% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32612 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32612 leans more Democratic than 13 of 17 neighbors.
32612 runs about 54 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32612 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32612. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 32612 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32612, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 82% of adults in 32612 hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32612 sits in the top fifth on density (about 92%, above 89% of zip codes). 32612 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32612, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32612 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32612 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 15 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and more than 99% of households in 32612 rent, compared to around 65% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32612 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.