32610 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 36% of adults in 32610 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32610, ~24% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32610 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32610 leans more Democratic than 11 of 17 neighbors.
32610 runs about 49 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32610 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 32610 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32610, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 82% of adults in 32610 hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32610 sits in the top fifth on density (about 98%, above 94% of zip codes). 32610 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 32610, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 32610 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32610 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 20 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and more than 99% of households in 32610 rent, compared to around 65% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32610 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.