15324 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 15324 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 15324, ~29% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 15324 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 15324 leans more Republican than 17 of 58 neighbors.
15324 runs about 24 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why 15324 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 15324, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
15324 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 64%, far above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 15324 are family households, above 85% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 15324, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 15324 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 15324 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 15324 have completed high school, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.