32816 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 43% of adults in 32816 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32816, ~26% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32816 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32816 leans more Democratic than 32 of 36 neighbors.
32816 runs about 32 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32816 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 32816 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32816, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. More than 99% of adults in 32816 have never been married, far above similar-sized zip codes (around 29%). 32816 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32816, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32816 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32816 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 32816 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.