32820 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 32820 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32820, ~35% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32820 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32820 leans more Republican than 18 of 23 neighbors.
Politically, 32820 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32820. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 32820 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32820, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in 32820 are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 32820, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32820 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32820 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.