32826 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 32826 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32826, ~29% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32826 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32826 leans more Democratic than 24 of 35 neighbors.
32826 runs about 21 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32826 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32826. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 32826 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32826, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 77% of residents in 32826 live in densely developed areas, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 32826 sits in the top quarter (about 35%, above 75% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 64% of adults in 32826 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32826, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32826 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32826 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 61% of households in 32826 rent, compared to around 32% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.