32817 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 32817 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32817, ~29% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32817 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32817 leans more Democratic than 24 of 41 neighbors.
32817 runs about 20 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32817 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32817. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 32817 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32817, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 77% of residents in 32817 live in densely developed areas, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 32817 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes. 32817 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32817, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32817 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32817 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 54% of households in 32817 rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.