94518 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 94518 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94518, ~43% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94518 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94518 leans more Democratic than 13 of 45 neighbors.
94518 runs about 16 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 94518. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 94518 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94518, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in 94518 live in densely developed areas, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 94518 sits in the top quarter (about 44%, above 84% of zip codes).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 94518, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 94518 looks the way it does
Turnout in 94518 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.